TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC?

Total volume:
$1,341
Volume 24h:
$406
2,826%
Liquidity:
$35,836
24%
Open interest:
$423
741%

Norwich

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 22h:34m:16s

Norwich wins

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Norwich

Trade
47%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
1¢
N/A
$312
521%
N/A
$312
22h 34m
Active
limitless

Norwich

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 34m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Norwich City FC

Trade
47%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
1¢
$12,682
$836
1%
N/A
N/A
19h 34m
Active
kalshi

Derby

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
N/A
$17
0%
N/A
$17
22h 34m
Active
limitless

Derby

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 34m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Derby County FC

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
$10,211
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
19h 34m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
27%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$94
0%
N/A
$94
22h 34m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC)

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$12,942
$73
22%
N/A
N/A
19h 34m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 34m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26.3%
Yes 26.5¢No 74.5¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 5.5¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County and Norwich City on November 3, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the match will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation/No-Game Handling differs between platforms. Limitless allows for resolution based on an official result even without a rescheduled match, while Polymarket defaults to 'No'.Hero tip: Limitless has a broader resolution path for cancellations, potentially resolving based on an official result even without a rescheduled game. Polymarket defaults to 'No' in a complete cancellation. Consider this when assessing probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". (Source: Polymarket Descriptions)
  • Limitless: If the match is not completed as scheduled...and an official final result is recognized...this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO". (Source: Limitless Descriptions)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Derby County FC and Norwich City FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Derby vs Norwich professional EFL Championship soccer game scheduled for Nov 3, 2026. If Derby wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Derby' market resolves to Yes. If Norwich wins under the same conditions, the 'Norwich' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 3, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Derby County vs. Norwich City match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus expectation based on trading volume of $1,341 and 24-hour volume of $406. This allows you to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is pricing the likelihood of various results. The dashboard combines data from both platforms to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment surrounding this specific football match. This is a great way to gauge public prediction for the event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly when a large volume of traders participate. The collective intelligence of the crowd often weighs information differently than a sportsbook’s algorithms. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus professional analysis.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which influences trading behavior. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ, impacting price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03? at 46.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Norwich wins at 47.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the individual assessments of its traders.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Derby County vs. Norwich City match – specifically, which team wins – will be used to determine the outcome. The final score and official match results will be considered to verify the winning team. This process ensures a transparent and objective resolution based on publicly available information.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds on this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Derby County or Norwich City would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions could also move the market. Major news regarding team morale or potential tactical shifts could also influence traders’ predictions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 4, 2026.