TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:20h:02m
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In the upcoming match between Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bolton Wanderers FC" if Bolton Wanderers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bolton Wanderers FC" if Bolton Wanderers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's also common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding team news or injuries that might affect the Derby County vs. Bolton match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome – in this case, which team will score first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share (Derby County scores first) or a 'no' share (Bolton Wanderers scores first) represents the implied probability of that outcome, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the result of the match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Derby County vs. Bolton match, as recorded by official match statistics. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football rules and data sources. The final result will determine which shares pay out 1 USDC and which expire worthless, based on the initial probabilities established by traders on Polymarket.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Derby County or Bolton Wanderers would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before kickoff could also influence trader behavior. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might be considered. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable football experts or analysts could sway the market's sentiment and lead to price adjustments.