TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Tolima
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 23h:22m:14s
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Deportivo Pereira and CD Tolima, scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets exist for Pereira winning, Tolima winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Deportivo Pereira and CD Tolima.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Pereira vs Tolima professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective market’s designated team wins the match in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers results from regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This market reflects what participants believe will happen, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. As such, discrepancies can arise, offering opportunities for arbitrage or highlighting differing perspectives on the likelihood of various results.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors one outcome, while Kalshi leans toward another. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and divergence, while higher volume tends to promote convergence. These factors contribute to the independent price formation observed across these prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Deportivo Pereira vs. Tolima match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market's settlement data shortly after the match concludes. The outcome will be based on the official match result, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either Deportivo Pereira or CD Tolima would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Major weather events impacting playing conditions, or even significant news regarding team management or internal conflicts, could all contribute to price movement. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.