TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Moron and CA All Boys, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Deportivo Moron vs. CA All Boys match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Moron and CA All Boys, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Deportivo Moron vs. CA All Boys match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket, reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the incentive structures of each venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes for the Deportivo Moron vs. All Boys match. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a constantly updated forecast. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher its share price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official result of the Deportivo Moron vs. All Boys match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on the official match data released by the governing soccer league or a widely recognized sports data provider.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Deportivo Moron or CA All Boys would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can impact the prices, as traders react to new information or simply express their convictions about the match’s outcome. Unexpected announcements about team lineups will also likely move the market.