TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Deportivo La Guaira and Metropolitanos FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo La Guaira" if Deportivo La Guaira are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Metropolitanos FC" if Metropolitanos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Deportivo La Guaira and Metropolitanos FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo La Guaira" if Deportivo La Guaira are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Metropolitanos FC" if Metropolitanos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while prediction markets, like Polymarket, allow traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as the 'wisdom of the crowd' on Polymarket may assign different probabilities than those set by sportsbook analysts. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment more closely, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks have mispriced an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Deportivo La Guaira or Metropolitanos FC will score first. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process establishes a market-driven probability assessment for the first goalscorer.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team scores the first goal in the Deportivo La Guaira versus Metropolitanos FC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event results, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Deportivo La Guaira or Metropolitanos FC would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially favoring one team's playing style, could contribute to movement in this market. Any significant information affecting the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first will be reflected in the share prices.