TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match in Peru's Liga 1 between Deportivo Garcilaso and Los Chankas CYC. Participants predict whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of the match as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three markets resolving based on the outcome of the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas CYC professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a possible result: a win for Deportivo Garcilaso, a win for Los Chankas CYC, or a tie. The markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating factors like team form, injuries, and head-to-head records to inform their trading decisions, ultimately shaping the market's price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as it approaches the resolution date to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Deportivo Garcilaso or Los Chankas CYC would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the market's perception. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical changes announced by either team's manager, could also influence traders' decisions and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential market movements.