Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Alavés win, Mallorca win, draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting.
Core resolution logic:
Alavés win market resolves YES if Alavés wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Mallorca win market resolves YES if Mallorca wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and a result is determined.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the win markets (Alavés and Mallorca) resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official La Liga announcement of the final match result, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.