TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Alavés and Málaga CF, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Alavés" if Deportivo Alavés are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Alavés and Málaga CF, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Alavés" if Deportivo Alavés are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As more information becomes available, such as team news or weather forecasts, the odds on Polymarket may converge or diverge from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches, due to the incentive structure for traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Alavés or Málaga will score first. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe Alavés will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a probabilistic forecast for the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Deportivo Alavés versus Málaga CF match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data and sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of which team achieved the first goal. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected on Polymarket.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alavés or Málaga would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trading activity and move the odds on Polymarket.