TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a La Liga soccer match between Deportivo Alavés and Club Atlético de Madrid. Users are betting on whether Alavés, Atlético Madrid, or a draw will occur specifically within the second half of regulation time plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Deportivo Alavés and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Alavés" if Deportivo Alavés score more goals than Club Atlético de Madrid in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Deportivo Alavés and Club Atlético de Madrid score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid score more goals than Deportivo Alavés in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Deportivo Alavés and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Alavés" if Deportivo Alavés score more goals than Club Atlético de Madrid in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Deportivo Alavés and Club Atlético de Madrid score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid score more goals than Deportivo Alavés in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. While both aim to predict the same event, the underlying mechanisms and information sources differ, resulting in potentially varying probabilities for the same outcome in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid second half can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Polymarket currently favors Deportivo Alavés to win the second half, while Predict leans toward Club Atlético Madrid. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Additionally, differing platform fees and incentive structures can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the observed probabilities for this market.