TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Uruguay's top league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dep Maldonado vs Liverpool M professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Dep Maldonado wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Liverpool M wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie within the same timeframe, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, which depends strictly on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Frequently, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, particularly when it comes to forecasting event outcomes. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point to consider when evaluating this market, as they represent another source of information about the perceived probabilities of each team winning.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dep Maldonado vs Liverpool match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or significant tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could also influence the market. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage can play a role, although the market tends to be more driven by informed traders than general public perception. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.