TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer match in Uruguay's top league features two teams competing for a victory. The outcome depends solely on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Dep Maldonado vs Danubio professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Dep Maldonado resolves the 'Dep Maldonado' market to Yes; a win for Danubio resolves the 'Danubio' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand from individuals trading on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating certain outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Dep Maldonado vs Danubio match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Dep Maldonado vs Danubio match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also cause price movements. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both Dep Maldonado and Danubio is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might move this market.