TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and San Francisco. Participants bet on whether each player will achieve certain receiving yard thresholds. Payouts vary based on the actual yards recorded, creating a direct link between player performance and financial return.
Each market operates as a scalar contract where Yes positions pay $0.0025 per receiving yard accumulated by the designated player during the specified game, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. No positions receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. All contracts resolve based solely on official receiving yard statistics from the game, with payouts proportional to contract holdings. The structure ensures that Yes payouts increase linearly with yardage up to the cap, while No payouts decrease correspondingly. Zero yards result in full No payouts and no return for Yes positions. The markets are independent, meaning performance of one player does not affect outcomes for others.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a wider range of sources than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a valuable perspective on where the discrepancies lie and potentially identify mispriced opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Denver vs San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards totals for relevant players will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Denver or San Francisco teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expected passing yardage. Additionally, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or player matchups could shift market sentiment. Finally, general public perception and betting activity can also contribute to price movements in this market.