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Denver vs San Francisco: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Denver vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$64,226

George Kittle

 - Kalshi

George Kittle - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:49 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

George Kittle

View
4%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢
—
N/A
$1,660
N/A
N/A
$1,616
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jaylen Waddle

View
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$13,156
N/A
N/A
$11,823
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$4,297
N/A
N/A
$3,279
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,895
N/A
N/A
$38,053
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

J.K. Dobbins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,535
N/A
N/A
$2,035
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Courtland Sutton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Evans

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track receiving performance for specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and San Francisco. Payouts increase progressively with each 10-yard increment of receiving yards achieved by the designated player. The structure incentivizes speculation on both the player's performance and the game's outcome through a tiered reward system.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates player receiving yards in the specified game, with Yes contracts paying according to a tiered schedule based on every 10-yard increment achieved. Payouts range from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards, following the formula: Payout = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s = official receiving yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with a maximum Yes payout of $1.00. Negative yardage results pay Yes contracts $0.00. All markets resolve to Yes if the specified conditions are met, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise in understanding differing viewpoints on player performance and potential yardage totals.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the potential receiving yardage totals.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official receiving yardage totals for the players involved in the Denver versus San Francisco game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics released after the game's completion, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi following the official data release.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Denver or San Francisco teams would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or coaching strategies could also impact the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in contract prices as traders react to new data.