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$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

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2,984,028,936

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$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

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4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

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Denver vs San Francisco: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Denver vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$5,363

RJ Harvey: over 10.5 yards

 - Kalshi

RJ Harvey: over 10.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

RJ Harvey: over 10.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Kittle: over 23.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Juszczyk: over 7.5 yards

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pat Bryant: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adam Trautman: over 9.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,615
N/A
N/A
$2,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Troy Franklin: over 9.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Waddle: over 20.5 yards

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$230
Settled
No
kalshi

Courtland Sutton: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
kalshi

Evan Engram: over 10.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a minimum longest reception distance during an upcoming football game between two teams. Each participant's performance is measured against a set threshold to determine the outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the Denver vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows for more direct peer-to-peer wagering. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the same information. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player achieving the longest reception. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices are constantly fluctuating based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment. The current prices reflect the collective predictions of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest reception, and the market will settle based on that data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game's conclusion. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all shift trader sentiment. A key receiver being ruled out would likely impact the odds for their teammates. Game-day performance, such as early receptions by specific players, will also cause rapid price movements. Any significant news or developments related to the players involved could cause substantial shifts in this market.