TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines if the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers football game on October 4, 2026, will extend beyond the normal timeframe. Observers will note the competitive balance between the two teams, which could influence whether the game is decided in regulation or needs overtime to produce a result.
If the Denver vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probability of overtime in the Denver vs San Francisco game, and may highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of overtime occurring in the Denver vs San Francisco game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. Trading volume and order flow directly influence these price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Denver vs San Francisco game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve to 100 if the game goes into overtime, and to 0 if it does not. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome determined at that time. The platform will verify and finalize the results promptly following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price of this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or San Francisco teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a low-scoring, close game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also move the market. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.