TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks whether both the Denver and San Francisco teams score specific point thresholds in their football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different minimum point requirement that both teams must meet for the outcome to be considered successful. The markets account for potential game postponements within a defined timeframe.
All markets resolve based on whether both Denver and San Francisco score at least the specified point threshold in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. Points scored in overtime count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all point thresholds (14+, 21+, 28+, and 35+ points), with Kalshi explicitly stating it is not affiliated with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see prediction market prices move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of participants and adjust rapidly to new information or changing expectations about the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Denver and San Francisco teams score at least one point during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have successfully scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources to finalize the market’s outcome. The results will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the Denver vs San Francisco scoring market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, any pre-game analysis suggesting a change in offensive strategy for either team, or updates on team form, could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movement in this market. Public sentiment and overall betting trends can also play a role.