TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which San Francisco player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Denver. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by the game's early scoring events.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified San Francisco player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes a snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no San Francisco touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No San Francisco Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player and unit markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – what traders are willing to pay or accept. As a result, the implied probabilities from Kalshi may differ from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value if you believe the market has mispriced the likelihood of the 49ers scoring first. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they're willing to buy at) and asks (the price they're willing to sell at). When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. The current price reflects the consensus view of all traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on the flow of buy and sell orders, with increased buying pressure pushing the price higher and increased selling pressure pushing it lower, indicating changing expectations about the 49ers scoring the first touchdown.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether the San Francisco 49ers scored the first touchdown in the game against Denver. The outcome will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. The resolution will reflect the official record of the game, as reported by trusted sports news sources.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players for either team, particularly the 49ers' quarterback or running backs, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of a passing or rushing touchdown. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could drive trading activity and move the price of this market.