TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring levels for both teams.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each with a specific numerical threshold for points scored by either Denver or San Francisco in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold points in the first half, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Thresholds vary from 2.5 to 30.5 points for both teams, offering a range of scoring outcomes to evaluate. All markets are independent, and each resolves based solely on its own threshold criteria. The governing league's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, incorporating new information and diverse perspectives. It’s common to see prediction market prices move closer to the eventual outcome as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting venues. The difference between these odds can sometimes reveal insights into public perception and potential biases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing the possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the potential results for the Denver vs San Francisco 1st half.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final scores from the first half of the Denver vs San Francisco game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Specifically, the market will assess whether the total score for each team exceeds or falls below the implied thresholds represented by the contract prices at the time of closure. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Denver or San Francisco teams would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's scoring environment, could also play a role. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Public perception and expert analysis released between now and Oct 5, 2026 can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.