TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Denver and Los Angeles C, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different possible point differential range, determining whether Los Angeles C or Denver wins by a specific number of points. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Los Angeles C and Denver in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, including any overtime periods. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team's point differential falls within the specified range for that market: Los Angeles C winning by exactly 0 points, between 1 and 6 points, between 7 and 14 points, or at least 15 points; or Denver winning by between 1 and 6 points, between 7 and 14 points, or at least 15 points. Each market is independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely winning margin. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium where buyers and sellers are willing to transact. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, analysis, and shifts in sentiment regarding the game's likely outcome, all reflected in the order book and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the correct winning margin range, and 0 for all others. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market and any associated payouts.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Denver or Los Angeles teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team morale, weather conditions impacting the game, or even late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on new information.