TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether either team in an upcoming football game achieves specific offensive yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total yards each team gains during the game, reflecting offensive performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Denver or Los Angeles Chargers in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by a team, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that specific market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all open markets will resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event nears, because they aggregate a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insight into public perception and initial expectations for this game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the collective assessment of all participants regarding the likely total yards achieved by the teams. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official team statistics for total yards gained during the Denver versus Los Angeles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The final, official yardage totals, as reported by the NFL, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payouts following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Denver or Los Angeles would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced during the week could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team practice performance or player matchups could sway trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.