TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many field goals they score. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals, adding an additional layer of analysis to the game's outcome.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of field goals scored by each team in the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) that a team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The structure allows bettors to assess varying levels of performance, from minimal to high-scoring scenarios, providing a nuanced perspective on each team's potential kicking efficiency.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updated market. It's often observed that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, particularly when considering future events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the event occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'yes' outcome. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insight into the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of field goals scored in the Denver vs Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, specifically the total number of field goals successfully made by both teams during regulation and any overtime periods. The market will settle to 100 if more than a certain number of field goals are scored, and to 0 otherwise, based on the specific terms of the market contract.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Denver or Los Angeles teams, particularly the kickers or offensive players critical to field goal opportunities, could significantly shift the price. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or coaching decisions related to field goal attempts could move this market as traders react to new information.