TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard performance for specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles. Participants can bet on whether each player will meet certain yardage thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual yards gained.
Each market functions as a scalar outcome where Yes contracts pay a fixed amount per rushing yard accumulated by the designated player during the specified game, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. The No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 after subtracting the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, meaning holders of larger positions receive correspondingly larger shares of the total payout. For instance, if a player records 80 yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50. Zero yards result in a full $1.00 payout to No contracts and nothing to Yes contracts. All markets resolve based solely on official game statistics, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any affiliation with the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at various price points, influencing how easily orders can be filled and how much price impact a single trade might have.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts settle positively. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key running backs, changes in weather forecasts, or adjustments to defensive strategies could all shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding player availability, such as a late-breaking injury, would likely cause significant price movement. Game-day performance, even in the early stages of the game, can also impact the market as traders react to real-time developments. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities before this market resolves.