TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the rushing performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles. Payouts increase progressively with higher rushing yard totals achieved by each designated player during the match.
Contracts in these markets resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by specified players in the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each Yes contract pays an amount determined by a tiered schedule corresponding to ranges of 10 rushing yards, with payouts increasing non-linearly up to a maximum of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic function scaled to the yardage range, ensuring higher rewards for greater performance thresholds. Each No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, effectively creating a zero-sum outcome where total payouts for both positions sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative rushing yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All markets are scalar-based, resolving solely to Yes when the game occurs as scheduled, with no partial credit for unscheduled plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each possible result, offering insight into the overall expectations for the game’s rushing yardage totals.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage totals for the Denver and Los Angeles teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final results and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and the official release of the statistics.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate rain or snow, could also impact the expected rushing yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to fluctuations in the prices of contracts within this market.