TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player, RJ Harvey, achieves certain yardage milestones in a football game between Denver and Los Angeles. The focus is on the combined total of rushing and receiving yards accumulated by the player during the match. Different thresholds define separate outcomes for the event.
The event evaluates RJ Harvey’s performance in the Denver vs. Los Angeles Chargers game scheduled for October 11, 2026, specifically whether he reaches combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds of 50+, 75+, and 100+. If Harvey meets or exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. A key secondary rule clarifies that if Harvey is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Harvey takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by the actual yards he records during the game. These rules ensure that markets resolve fairly based on actual in-game performance, with specific provisions for edge cases where a player may be present but not actively involved in plays.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant expertise than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, while this market benefits from the wisdom of the crowd and allows participants to incorporate a wider range of factors, including injury reports, weather conditions, and even subtle changes in team dynamics. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as each represents a unique assessment of probability. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. The price represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their valuations based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, providing insight into potential support and resistance points.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the Denver and Los Angeles teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by official NFL sources, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to resolution. Key injuries to star players on either the Denver or Los Angeles teams would likely cause substantial shifts in pricing. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a passing or running game, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could introduce new information that traders incorporate into their valuations. Significant changes in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also contribute to market movements.