TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain number of receptions, with payouts scaling based on the actual reception counts recorded during the game.
This event consists of four separate scalar markets, each focused on a different player’s reception performance in the same football game. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and are constrained between $0.00 and $1.00. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.55 and a No payout of $0.45; zero receptions would yield a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets are independent, and each resolves based solely on the reception count of its designated player.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the receptions ladder. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the prices by placing bids (to buy) and asks (to sell), and the market clears at the best available prices. As more information becomes available, or as opinions shift, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of potential player performance. The current market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved will determine which contracts pay out, and the amount paid will be based on the final price of the contract at resolution. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports are a significant catalyst, as the potential absence of key players would dramatically alter expectations for receiver targets and receptions. Changes in quarterback performance, weather conditions impacting passing games, or even strategic adjustments by coaching staffs could all move the market. News regarding player matchups, defensive schemes, or team offensive strategies will also be closely watched by traders. Unexpected developments in practice or pre-game analysis can quickly shift sentiment and drive price changes in this market.