TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard performance for specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles. Participants can speculate on whether each player will achieve certain receiving yard thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual yardage accumulated.
Each market operates as a scalar betting mechanism where Yes contracts pay a fixed rate per receiving yard accumulated by the specified player during the game, capped at a maximum payout of $1.00. The Yes payout is calculated at $0.0025 per yard, with a maximum payable amount corresponding to 400 yards. No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring the total payout per contract equals $1.00 regardless of outcome. Payouts are proportional to each holder's position size, meaning larger positions receive correspondingly larger absolute payouts while maintaining the same percentage distribution as smaller positions. For instance, if a player records 80 receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50. Zero yards result in a full $1.00 payout to No contracts and $0.00 to Yes contracts. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the specified player's individual receiving yard total from the game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate news and adjust probabilities based on real-time sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Denver versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics released after the game concludes. The market will determine which receiving yard ladder outcome was achieved based on the final, official stats, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team's defensive strategies would be major catalysts. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect passing game performance and shift the market. Unexpected starting lineup changes or in-game performance adjustments could also lead to substantial price movements. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities before this market resolves.