TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles, with payouts scaling based on the number of receiving yards each player accumulates. The structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a dynamic incentive tied directly to individual player statistics.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 receiving yards achieved, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise Yes payout, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official receiving yards (s) rounded down to the nearest 10 and bounded between 0 and 200. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and any negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes following payout calculation, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges for players, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a player will exceed a certain yardage total, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Denver versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage statistics, as reported by the NFL, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market's resolution is based on official game data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in player matchups or defensive schemes could also influence the perceived likelihood of certain players exceeding their yardage totals. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations will likely cause fluctuations in the market until the game begins.