TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest as it unfolds, highlighting the back-and-forth competition between the two teams. The outcome depends purely on the game's point progression, without considering final scores or other factors.
The event determines which team scores the 21st point first in the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Los Angeles C reaches 21 points before Denver, that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Denver hits 21 points first, its market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone during the game—including any overtime periods—the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, betting continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market's prices are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Denver vs Los Angeles matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they are willing to buy a 'yes' contract) and asks (the price they are willing to sell a 'yes' contract). When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. The price of the contracts reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of either team reaching 21 points first. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, Denver or Los Angeles, officially reaches 21 points first according to official game statistics. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning team and settle the contracts. The market will close prior to the completion of the game to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Denver or Los Angeles would likely cause movement. Unexpected performance in prior games, shifts in public perception, or even weather conditions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to new information or anticipate future developments.