TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the designated player will surpass various yardage milestones during the match. Outcomes depend entirely on in-game performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards recorded by the specified quarterback in the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the named player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards accumulated during the game. All yardage thresholds are evaluated independently, with each market resolving to 'Yes' only if the specified player meets or exceeds its exact numerical requirement. The markets are exclusively tied to the performance of the named quarterback and remain unaffected by other players' statistics or game outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook lines, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game, or potentially an opportunity for arbitrage. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and the implied probability can be calculated from that price.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage total from the Denver versus Los Angeles NFL game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be the source for determining the total passing yards, and the market will settle based on whether the actual yardage exceeds or falls short of the relevant threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive adjustments could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals closely can help you understand potential shifts in this market.