TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on evaluating the performance of quarterback Justin Herbert in a specific upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles. They measure how many passing touchdowns he throws during the match, with different thresholds determining the outcome of each market.
All markets evaluate Justin Herbert's passing touchdown performance in the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, with varying thresholds (1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+ touchdowns). If Herbert is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once Herbert takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the total number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if Herbert meets or exceeds its specific touchdown threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to capitalize on public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals trading on Kalshi. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they diverge significantly from the prices seen in this market. It’s important to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. Traders are constantly evaluating factors that could influence the number of passing touchdowns, and their collective actions determine the market prices.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Denver versus Los Angeles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. This resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout for their contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the prices in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly forecasts of heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of passing touchdowns. Unexpected shifts in team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in this market.