TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many times specific quarterbacks attempt to pass the ball during a football game between Denver and Los Angeles. The outcomes depend on whether the players meet or exceed certain thresholds of pass attempts. These markets reflect strategic insights into game planning and quarterback usage.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing attempts recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback records the specified number of passing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles definitively based on the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These provisions ensure fair resolution even in edge cases where a player is present but does not participate in offensive plays.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows traders to adjust those expectations based on real-time information and diverse opinions. You may find that the implied probability of a specific passing attempts range differs from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s important to compare and contrast to make informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing attempts. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating the eventual outcome. The current price indicates the market's expectation of how likely a particular passing attempts range is to occur.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempts from the Denver versus Los Angeles NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of combined passing attempts by both teams will determine which contracts payout, and at what value. The market will settle to the actual number of passing attempts, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on their predictions. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that might affect passing strategies. Late-breaking reports about defensive schemes or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks, or even public sentiment expressed through social media, could influence trading activity and move this market before the game concludes.