TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Los Angeles, with payouts scaling based on their fantasy points scored.
Each market resolves based on the player's Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy-point total during the specified game, using Sleeper's weekly standard scoring. The Yes payout per contract equals $0.01 multiplied by the player's fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, with negative points yielding a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final statistical results of the fantasy ladder performance in the Denver vs Los Angeles matchup. The platform will verify the results against established sources to determine which outcome aligns with the actual event results. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategies, or unexpected performance shifts during the game could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Denver vs Los Angeles matchup can also play a role, as they influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other games that affect the overall standings or playoff implications could also indirectly move this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.