TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either Denver or Los Angeles C achieves a defensive or special teams touchdown during their upcoming match. Such plays represent key moments of turnover and scoring opportunity beyond offensive drives.
If Denver or Los Angeles C record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Denver vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Therefore, you may observe differences between the implied probability on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive touchdown being scored. The price of a 'yes' contract fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people believe a touchdown is likely, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the event’s probability. This differs from fixed-odds betting, offering a more fluid pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether a defensive or special teams unit from either the Denver or Los Angeles team successfully scores a touchdown during the official game play. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the outcome, and the result will be publicly available to verify. No further information about settlement is available.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key defensive players on either team – such as injuries or suspensions – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly those favoring strong defensive play, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments that emphasize defensive pressure might also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams’ offensive vulnerabilities could affect traders’ assessments of the likelihood of a defensive touchdown.