TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether a specific team will exceed various point thresholds in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different point benchmark that the team must surpass for the prediction to be considered correct.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each evaluating whether either Denver or Los Angeles C scores over a specified point threshold in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each sub-market has a unique threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 30.5 points for each team. If the specified team scores strictly more than the threshold points in the first half, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The governing rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to differing information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when there is significant public interest. It’s common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may initially overreact to news or public perception, while this market tends to converge toward a more rational assessment over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it. The current implied probabilities are driven by the supply and demand for these contracts, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the game's potential.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual first-half team totals scored by Denver and Los Angeles in the game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. The platform will verify the results against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Denver or Los Angeles would likely cause the odds to shift. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring and affect the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate a shift in market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market as traders react to new information.