TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Denver wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Denver wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:22h:48m
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This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team will win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Denver vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. For Denver markets, resolution occurs if Denver wins by exceeding the specified point margin—from just over 1.5 points up to more than 20.5 points. For Carolina markets, resolution happens if Carolina wins by exceeding margins ranging from just over 1.5 points to more than 14.5 points. All markets share the same underlying event—the final score of the specified game—and resolve strictly according to these point differential thresholds. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league or its trademarks is implied.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market's implied probabilities diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially lead with expert analysis, this market can quickly adapt to changing conditions and potentially offer more accurate forecasts as the event approaches. It's a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system, constantly updating as sentiment evolves.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Denver versus Carolina game. The market will settle based on which team covers the spread, as defined by the official game statistics. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the game's progress and official results to understand how this market will ultimately settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Carolina teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the game's playing conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before Nov 8, 2026.