TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Denver versus Arizona professional football game will exceed 46.5. Currently, the “over 46.5 points” outcome is trading at 48.0% on Kalshi. A secondary outcome, betting on over 49.5 points, has a 37.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the final score of the game, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as the final point total determined at the end of the game will dictate the market’s resolution.
The markets resolve to 'Yes' if the combined points scored by Denver and Arizona in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed the specified threshold for each respective market. Each market features a different point threshold, ranging from 22.5 to 64.5 points. All markets are independent, and the resolution is based exclusively on the official game result. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there’s an opportunity for arbitrage. However, it’s common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Denver vs Arizona game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific point total being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is dynamic and adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated assessment of the expected total points. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the Denver vs Arizona game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will settle at 100, while those with different totals will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to view the final settlement details on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the Denver vs Arizona points total market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause movement. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can influence the price, as they signal strong conviction from market participants. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential shifts in the expected total points.