TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Denver will win their game against Arizona by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Denver winning by over 1.5 points is 85.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the outcome of the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, specifically if Denver wins by more than 20.5 points. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if Denver wins by exceeding the stated points margin, the corresponding 'Denver wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Arizona wins by exceeding its stated margin, the corresponding 'Arizona wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, and only the market matching the exact point differential threshold is triggered. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe Denver will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches, as they aggregate diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a lower probability, and vice versa. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Denver covers the spread against Arizona, as determined by the official game results. The final score difference will be compared to the spread to determine which contracts will pay out. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Denver or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.