TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional football game between two teams, focusing on whether either team scores a specific type of defensive play during the match. This defensive play is a rare and impactful scoring method that can shift the dynamics of the game. The occurrence of this play during the contest is the central point of interest for observers and analysts.
If Denver or Arizona record a safety in the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or team biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from the difference in pricing between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Denver vs Arizona game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Denver vs Arizona game, as officially reported by a trusted source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual outcome. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, providing clarity and confidence in the market's integrity.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Denver or Arizona team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even unexpected shifts in public sentiment could all play a role. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant changes in team performance leading up to the game, are also likely to affect trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.