TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Denver and Arizona. It focuses on whether designated players achieve certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey achieving specified rushing and receiving yardage totals in the Denver vs Arizona game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: J.K. Dobbins must reach 60+, 85+, or 110+ combined yards, while RJ Harvey must reach 50+, 75+, or 100+ combined yards for the respective market to resolve as Yes. If either player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual yards recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, with all trademarks remaining property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies, compared to the sportsbook’s initial assessment of the Denver vs Arizona matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular yardage total is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the Denver and Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage count, as reported by official league sources, will determine the winning contracts. It’s important to note that the resolution is based on the official game statistics, and any adjustments or corrections made by the league will be reflected in the final outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key players on both the Denver and Arizona teams are significant catalysts, as they directly impact the potential for rushing and receiving yards. Weather forecasts also play a role, with adverse conditions potentially favoring a run-heavy offensive strategy. News regarding coaching decisions or changes in offensive schemes could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to adjustments in the pricing of this market.