TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions for various players in a specific football game between Denver and Arizona. Each market focuses on whether a particular player achieves a minimum number of receptions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official game statistics for receptions recorded by specified players in the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each player's performance metrics.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a particular reception total is more or less likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts in this market will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from perceived mispricings or changes in their beliefs about the game's outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for both Denver and Arizona will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final results and whether their contracts were profitable once the resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Unexpected reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move prices. Finally, as game day approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sources could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.