TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Denver and Arizona. Each market focuses on whether a particular player reaches a certain reception threshold, allowing bettors to speculate on individual player performance.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full-game receptions, including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as more people trade. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player performance, injuries, or even weather conditions. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there's significant public information available, but sportsbook odds provide a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available knowledge, providing a real-time assessment of the likely number of receptions in the Denver vs Arizona game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the Denver and Arizona teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the total combined receptions achieved by players from both teams during the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments made after the official game statistics are released will not be considered for resolution purposes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in team lineups could also shift market sentiment. Finally, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can contribute to fluctuations in the price as the game approaches.