TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific Denver Broncos players in a football game against the Arizona Cardinals. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain level of receiving yards, with payouts scaling based on the actual yards recorded. The structure allows for varied outcomes depending on individual player performance in the matchup.
The event consists of four separate scalar markets, each tied to a different Denver Broncos player’s receiving yards in the game against the Arizona Cardinals. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that total payouts for each contract sum to $1.00 regardless of outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size. For instance, if a player records 80 receiving yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; at 200 yards, both payouts equal $0.50; and if the player records zero yards, the Yes payout is $0.00 and the No payout is $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves based solely on the corresponding player’s performance in the specified game.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player matchups, weather conditions, or potential injuries, providing a unique viewpoint on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices determined by supply and demand. Each contract represents a specific receiving yard total, and the price reflects the probability of that total being exceeded. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by the collective predictions of participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Denver vs Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player will be tallied, and the contracts corresponding to the exceeded yardage totals will pay out. The market will determine which contracts settle as ‘yes’ or ‘no’ based on the official game statistics, providing a clear and objective resolution to the predictions made by traders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations for passing yardage. Furthermore, updates on player matchups or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and lead to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.