TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
Additional markets for the same game evaluate Bo Nix against higher passing yard benchmarks. Resolution depends entirely on whether Bo Nix's total passing yards meet or exceed each specified threshold during the complete game duration, including overtime.
These markets also resolve based on Bo Nix's passing yard performance in the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, with thresholds of 150+, 175+, 200+, 225+, 250+, 275+, 300+, and 325+. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if Bo Nix meets or exceeds its specific threshold. The secondary rule states that if Bo Nix is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Bo Nix takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on passing yards recorded. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. All statistics include overtime, and the rules apply uniformly across all markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing expectations regarding the Denver vs Arizona game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage for both quarterbacks is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which outcome – a specific passing yard range – accurately predicts the total passing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the quarterbacks, would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected strategic shifts announced by either coaching staff, or even in-game adjustments during the contest, could also lead to price fluctuations. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could shift expectations and move this market.