TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Denver vs Arizona: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Denver vs Arizona?

Volume:
$4,815

Jacoby Brissett: 1+

 - Kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 6:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,896
N/A
N/A
$2,896
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bo Nix: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,349
N/A
N/A
$1,326
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bo Nix: 2+

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
$136
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Nix: 3+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Nix: 4+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 3+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific quarterback in a football game, focusing on how many times he successfully throws the ball for touchdowns. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match. These contracts include special provisions for player participation and injury scenarios.

Kalshi

These contracts settle based on whether quarterback Bo Nix throws a specified number of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) in the Denver vs. Arizona game scheduled for October 25, 2026, including any overtime periods. Each contract features a 'protected' designation: if Nix plays at least one snap in the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves at the pre-game fair price unless he meets or exceeds his required touchdown threshold, in which case it settles based on actual stats. If he plays any snap after halftime, the contract always settles on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Penalties that nullify a play before the snap do not count as participation. A player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protection mechanism applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' criteria.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, visualizing the implied probabilities of different numbers of passing touchdowns being scored in the Denver versus Arizona game. You can view the price history to see how expectations have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $4,704. Total volume for this market is $4,815. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential liquidity for different predictions.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders adjust their positions based on available data and analysis. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the potential game outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to create a dynamic and efficient forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likelihood of each outcome in the NFL passing touchdowns market.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Denver versus Arizona game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. It’s important to note that the official game statistics will be the definitive source for resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Arizona teams, particularly the quarterbacks or their receiving corps, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the prices within this market.