What is the result of Denver vs Arizona?

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts at different price points. The price of a contract represents the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher number of passing attempts, the price of those contracts will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likely passing attempt total for the Denver versus Arizona game.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt total for the Denver versus Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual number of passing attempts completed during the game, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact, as this would affect the expected passing volume. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also shift the market, as inclement weather often leads to fewer passing attempts. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or game plans could also move this market as traders react to new information.