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Closed: Oct 25, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
An overtime period occurs when the game clock runs out with both teams still tied. This triggers an extra session where teams get another opportunity to score and determine a clear winner.
If the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Over time, the odds in this market tend to become more efficient as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges regarding team injuries or other relevant factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing the probability of overtime in the Denver vs Arizona game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. Higher demand for contracts indicating overtime will drive the price up, while increased selling pressure will push the price down.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Denver vs Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game officially goes into overtime according to the official game statistics. The outcome will be determined based on the official game results, and any disputes will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Arizona teams would likely cause movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the odds. Significant news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information is being incorporated into the market price, potentially leading to substantial shifts in the odds.