TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Denver vs Arizona: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Denver vs Arizona?

Volume:
$101,445

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 6:49 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,952
N/A
N/A
$14,781
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,054
N/A
N/A
$13,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,735
N/A
N/A
$12,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,556
N/A
N/A
$9,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,911
N/A
N/A
$4,854
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,063
N/A
N/A
$2,912
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
$866
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
$428
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Denver or Arizona specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team during that quarter alone.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Denver and Arizona during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For Denver markets, resolution occurs if Denver outscores Arizona by the specified margin (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points). For Arizona markets, resolution occurs if Arizona outscores Denver by the specified margin (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points). Only points scored during the third quarter count, regardless of the final game outcome. All markets are independent and resolve based strictly on third-quarter performance.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 3rd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing beliefs about the point differential in the third quarter of the Denver versus Arizona game. You’ll find a price history chart to visualize how expectations have changed over time, along with the total 24-hour volume of $92,911 and overall volume of $101,445. This allows you to see how much trading activity is occurring and understand market sentiment towards the outcome of this particular contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and analysis. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to predict the same underlying event, and significant discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is dynamic and responsive to new information, making it a real-time gauge of market sentiment regarding the Denver versus Arizona game. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Denver versus Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and payout amounts on Kalshi after the game concludes and the data is verified.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Denver or Arizona teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, can influence the price. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also move this market before Oct 26, 2026.