TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Denver and Arizona during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Denver and Arizona in the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points), the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, potentially creating temporary alignment with this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 2nd quarter total score. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter between the Broncos and Cardinals is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome (either over or under the specified total). Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant pre-game analysis or expert opinions predicting a high or low-scoring second quarter could influence trader behavior and move the market. Public betting trends in sportsbooks may also have a minor impact on this market.