TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Observing the second quarter, this event resolves based on whether both Denver and Arizona score during that specific period of the game. All regular scoring methods count, but only points from the 2nd quarter determine the outcome.
If Denver and Arizona both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring in the 2nd quarter. It’s important to remember that prediction markets aim to forecast the actual outcome, whereas sportsbooks aim to offer attractive betting opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether both teams will score in the 2nd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in both teams scoring, while lower prices suggest the opposite. The current top market outcome is 'Both teams to score in the 2nd quarter', but this can change as trading progresses.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Denver and Arizona teams each score at least one point during the 2nd quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The result will be a clear 'Yes' or 'No' based on the official game data, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Arizona teams would likely cause movement, as it impacts their scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game performance during the 1st quarter – for example, if one team establishes a dominant offense – could shift trader sentiment and move the market price. Public perception and expert analysis leading up to and during the game can also contribute to price fluctuations.