TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the total points scored by both teams in the second half of an upcoming football game will exceed various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and outcome of the game's latter stages.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the second half (including any overtime periods) of the specified football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the total points scored in the second half exceed the threshold specified for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored after the end of the second quarter, with no credit given for points from the first half. The outcomes are determined solely by the final score tally at the conclusion of regulation or overtime, without any adjustments or additional conditions beyond the stated point thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and represent another data point when considering the potential outcome of the Denver vs Arizona 2nd half.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time forecast for the total points scored in the second half of the game. The current volume is $99,741.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the second half of the Denver vs Arizona game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Denver or Arizona teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to adjust their predictions. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in the Denver vs Arizona 2nd half.